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Monthly climate diagnostic bulletin for June 2017

Highlights

  • The precipitation for the month of October, 2017was above to well above average over northern Tunisia, much of DRC, South Sudan, Uganda and Tanzania, southern Sudan, northern Angola, Zambia and Madagascar. Below to well below average precipitation was however observed over northern Morocco, much of Gulf of Guinea countries, southern Somalia and Madagascar. Elsewhere over the continent, near average precipitation was recorded.

  • The precipitation in percentage of average for August-September-October 2017 season was above to well above average over Mali, Niger, Nigeria, CAR, DRC, Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia and northern Angola.Below to well below average precipitation was however observed over Gabon, Eritrea, Swaziland and Madagascar.
  • Positive temperature anomalies greater than or equal to 2°C were observed in September 2017 over Morocco, Algeria, Mauritania, Malian Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire and Nigeria, with peaks of more than 3°C recorded over Morocco.
  • Seasonal temperature anomalies greater than or equal to 2°Cwere observed inAugust-September-October 2017 over Morocco, Algeria and Senegal.
  • Well below average precipitation is expected over southern Ethiopia, western Somalia and eastern Kenya during the season of November 2017 to January 2018. From November 2017 to January 2018, near to above average precipitation is very likely over southern Mozambique, south-eastern Zimbabwe, north-eastern South Africa and Swaziland.
  • Above average precipitation is expected over northern Algeria, Tunisia, south-westernmost part of DRC and north-westernmost part of Angola from November 2017 to January 2018.
  • Over northern Morocco, Algeria, southern Angola, north-eastern Namibia, much of Botswana, northernmost part of South Africa, western Zimbabwe and Zambia and southernmost region of DRC, well above average precipitation is very likely during November 2017 to January 2018. During this period, there is need to prepare adequately for the expected rain events. From November 2017 to January 2018, near to above average temperature is very likely over most parts of North Africa, northern Sahel and central parts of Southern Africa
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